Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?+71.89
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?+0.46
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?+2.72
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?-0.29
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?-3.05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?-0.25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? -0.50
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?-2.28
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?-0.03
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?-32.99
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?-1050.00
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?-100.00
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?-1000.00
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 27, 2026?-262.15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?-25.00
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 28, 2026?-3.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?-302.05
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?-350.00
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?-102.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?-75.00
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?-15.00
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?-5.00
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?-65.00
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 7, 2026?-7.00
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 11, 2026?-2.00
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 18?-1.00
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 8, 2026?-5.00
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?-45.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET-1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9PM ET-1.00
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 9, 2026?-5.00
Will anyone say "Inflation" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?-55.00
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?-30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12AM ET-10.00
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?-10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 21?-8.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 21?-3.72
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?-1.00
Chargers vs. Broncos-2.40
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?-10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET-6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET-10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7PM ET-2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ET-5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3PM ET-3.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET-0.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12AM ET-1.00
US 10Y Treasury Yield
4.60% (Jul 28)
02:48 AM · 1h·10Y Treasury
39.0¢$243
38.0¢$230
37.0¢$600
36.0¢$3,962
35.0¢$4,088
34.0¢$25,204
33.0¢$3,735
32.0¢$9,073
31.5¢spread 1.0¢
31.0¢$432
30.0¢$7,268
29.0¢$8,950
28.0¢$1,585
27.0¢$400
26.0¢$255
24.0¢$200
23.0¢$103
Polymarket Portfolio
$4,835.23
03:13 AM · 1h·Polymarket
Daily Market Digest
Clarity Act (H.R. 3633) Market SummaryCurrent Market StateOdds: 31% | Volume: $2.76M | Liquidity declining sharply from prior week peaksLegislative StatusSenate Banking Committee reported favorably (15-9) on 06/01/2026. Bill currently sits on Senate Legislative Calendar (No. 423) with no floor vote scheduled as of 07/28. Pathway to passage narrowing as calendar advances toward year-end.Trading ActivityRecent large trades show mixed sentiment—traders cycling between $0.32-$0.33 (Yes) and $0.67-$0.68 (No) bids. No single dominant conviction push. Largest visible trades remain under $10k threshold, suggesting institutional interest is modest.Volume TrendsSharp deterioration: $2.87M → declining from $2.87M+ peaks earlier in July. Historical volume shows 98% drop from highs of ~$307k in single periods, indicating waning retail engagement.Market InterpretationThe 31% odds reflect skepticism despite committee advancement. Stalled Senate calendar presence and collapsing volume suggest traders expect legislative inaction before 2026 ends. Banking sector regulatory uncertainty persists, but market assigns passage low probability.
09:32 PM · 1d·Digest
Bitcoin Price
$64,004.98
03:11 AM · 1h·BTC
Crypto Fear & Greed
29
03:11 AM · 1h·Fear · Fear & Greed
Clarity Act Legislative Status
Placed on Senate Legislative Calendar under General Orders. Calendar No. 423. Senate Banking Committee reported favorably 06/01/2026. No Senate floor vote yet as of 07/28/2026.
09:23 AM · 1d·Live Lookup
Significant Movement Alert
Current odds 31%, recent volume $2.76M, largest visible trade under $10k threshold
09:30 PM · 1d·Alert
Gold Price
$4,029.40/oz
03:11 AM · 1h·Gold
Fed Funds Rate
Error
03:13 AM · 1h·Core CPI
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Fed rate hike in 2026?
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
Vancouver: Haruka Kaji vs Taylah Preston
Los Cabos Open: Aidan Mayo vs James Duckworth
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Los Cabos Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Rodrigo Pacheco
Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
SummerFi to Wind Down After Seven Years, Citing Exploit
eToro Takes Strategic Stake in Onchain Derivatives Exchange Extended, Plans Zengo Tie-Up
NEAR Governance Votes to Scrap Developer Gas Rebate
BitMine Adds $73 Million in ETH, Pushing Holdings to 4.8% of Supply
EDX Markets Closes $76M Series C Led by SBI Holdings
Tether's Former CIO Heathcote Plans to Sell Equity Stake
Collins says State Department will reinstate funding for global humanitarian vaccine alliance
Burnham invites Tories and Lib Dems to social care talks
Ex-Trump health official shocked by Fauci's 'unabashed narcissism' from diaries
South Dakota governor fends off challenger in primary runoff
Special election for Scott's House seat in Georgia heads to runoff
Zelensky asks senators for air defenses, tells them Ukraine is winning war
Polanski says guillotine re-post was mistake but refuses to apologise
Senate advances Graham bill to put harsher sanctions on Russia, Iran
Coinbase wants to be Canada’s ‘everything exchange,’ but says clearer rules are needed first
Senate confirms Jay Clayton as director of national intelligence
Trump hits lowest point in YouGov poll since return to office
Comer warns Fauci: Biden's pardon doesn't cover testimony this week
Iran launches 'surprise attack' on US forces in Middle East
Conservatives tout Biden tapes as proof of his decline. The audio is more nuanced.
Markets Don’t Buy the US Ceasefire Against Iran Will Last
Jensen hits the Hill
Fauci set for high-profile hearing after Paul released diaries
DOE identifies five states to hold nuclear waste
Boeing takes $280 million hit on troubled Air Force One program
FDA official insists 'U.S. food supply is safe' as cyclosporiasis cases hit 11,000
Apple Overtakes Nvidia—Which Will Be Bigger by End of July?
SEC Chairman Says He’s ‘Committed’ to Helping Advance Crypto Clarity Act
Claude Mythos Cracked Post-Quantum Cryptography That Humans Spent Years Failing to Break
'Anything remotely dovish' from Fed could be good for bitcoin, says analyst
Teacher Arrested for Clapping at AI Data Center Public Hearing
Dubai-Based Emirates Airline Adds Bitcoin and Crypto Payments
Ondo drops tokenized asset blockchain plans for private, high-speed trading network
Michael Saylor: Bitcoin Code Is a Constitution, Changes Are Attacks on 'Economic Rights'
Morgan Stanley Expands Crypto Push With Ethereum and Solana ETPs
Bitcoin Dips As Crypto Clarity Act Hopes Fade
XRP Price Slides as Senate Drops Clarity Act and Fed Decision Looms
Zcash Activates Ironwood Upgrade After Counterfeiting Scare
I Scanned the Entire Bitcoin Blockchain for Images. What I Found Will Shock You
The Dumbest-Looking AI Prompt Just Beat Months of Careful Game-Design Prompt Engineering